Tuesday, May 30, 2023

Laying the groundwork for the best mortgage



With mortgage rates having doubled what they were in early 2022, getting the lowest rate possible could mean the difference in being able to buy a home or at the very least, makes it much more affordable.  Some people are waiting for rates to come down and while they are expected to come down some this year, most experts agree that they'll never return to the three or even four percent range. 

There are things that a buyer can do to be eligible for the best rate available.  Obtaining the most favorable terms is based on the loan-to-value, your credit rating, and your ability to repay the mortgage.

While lenders can impose their own underwriting criteria, the basic qualifying guidelines are identified as the 4 Cs:

  • Capital - money and savings, plus other investments providing for down payment, closing costs, and reserves for unexpected expenses in the future.  It could also include gifts from family members, grants, and down payment assistance.
  • Capacity - ability to pay back the loan.  Lenders look at income, job stability, savings, monthly debt payments, and other obligations to approve a borrower for a mortgage.  They'll ask for several years of tax returns, W2s, and current pay stubs.  Self-employed borrowers require additional documentation.  Some of the recurring debt can include car payments, student loans, credit card payments, personal loans, child support, alimony, and other debts which could include co-signing for another's debt.
  • Credit - your credit history and score exhibit your experience for paying bills and debts on time.  While there are minimum credit scores for different types of mortgages, the best rates are only available to borrowers with the best credit scores.  Credit ratings are established over time and borrowers need to improve their scores before they need to use them.
  • Collateral ... lenders look to the value of the home and other possessions when pledged as security for the loan.

Based on the Ability-To-Repay Rule, effective 1/10/2014, financial information must be supplied and verified; borrower must have sufficient assets or income to pay back the loan; and, teaser rates can no longer hide a mortgage's true cost.  Even after a lender gives a loan approval to a borrower, they will generally run additional verifications a few days prior to the closing to make sure that nothing has changed that would affect their underwriting decision.

The financial preparation for homebuyers begins long before they start looking at homes.  They need to be aware of their credit by asking for copies of their credit reports from the three major reporting agencies: Experian, TransUnion, and Equifax. Congress mandated consumers be provided this free service through AnnualCreditReport.com.  Other websites may offer free services, but their real objective may be to encourage you to purchase additional services.

Once you've received the credit reports, read them to discover errors that could negatively affect your credit score.  The website will tell you the process of correcting the errors which includes notifying both the credit bureau and the reporting party of the error.

Most borrowers understand that payment history is the major contributor to a credit score; it is expected of borrowers to pay on time and as agreed.  Sometimes, borrowers are surprised to find out that if their borrowing approaches their available credit that it could actually hurt their score.

The credit utilization ratio is the percentage of credit used to that which is available.  If you had $10,000 credit available and your balance of a credit card was $2,500, the ratio would be 25%.  Ideally, lenders want your credit utilization to be below 25%.  Again, this could be one of the things you work on before you meet with a mortgage officer.

Once you have an accurate credit report and have saved for the down payment and closing costs, you're ready to meet with a trusted mortgage professional who can take you through the process of preapproval.  They may be able to suggest things you can do to raise your credit score to be eligible for a lower mortgage rate.

All lenders are not the same and there is a significant difference with the online lenders who have limited counselling advice and working with a local mortgage officer you can discuss face-to-face what your situation is and if it can be improved.  

You may feel comfortable with more than one recommendation and your agent will be able to supply you with lenders who they are familiar with from their experience in situations like yours.

Tuesday, May 23, 2023

Handling an Appraisal Gap



An appraisal gap describes the difference between the sales price and the lower amount of the appraisal required by the mortgage being obtained by the buyer.  It becomes an issue if the seller is not willing to lower the price or the buyer is not willing to pay the difference in cash.

Looking at the issue from the seller's perspective, "if the buyer wants my home and he can't get the loan he wants, he'll have to make up the difference in cash."  The buyer might have a different view like "If an independent appraiser can't justify the price, I'm not going to pay more than appraised value."

  1. Pay the difference in the appraised value and the purchase price in cash. 
    Solution - Assuming the buyer has adequate cash reserves and is willing to pay above appraised value, this will satisfy the lender.
  2. Decrease your down payment percentage to apply toward the appraisal gap.  It may trigger mortgage insurance which will increase your payment.
    Example:
    $400,000 Sales Price with 20% down payment of $80,000; Home appraises for $390,000
    Possible solution ... buyer could take $10,000 of the $80,000 he was going to use for the down payment and make up the gap.  That only leaves him $70,000 which is a good downpayment for this size home, but it may require that he pay mortgage insurance because the loan-to-value is more than 80%.
  3. Renegotiate the contract with the seller.  Assuming both parties are willing to negotiate on the terms, the seller could lower the price to the appraised value, or any other number of possibilities.
  4. Include an appraisal gap clause - "Buyer and seller agree that if the appraised value comes in lower than the purchase price, buyer agrees to pay up to $XX,000 above appraised value, but not exceeding the purchase price."

    An appraisal gap clause addresses what the buyer is willing to do within the parameters included.  It provides limited comfort to both the seller and buyer to address the issue of the home appraising for a lower amount than necessary.  This clause provides a way for the buyer to compete in a seller's market.
  5. Terminate the contract.

Appraisals can be a confusing but necessary part of the process when the buyer needs a mortgage.  I'm available to answer any questions and share our experience with you. Our goal is to be your source of real estate information.

Tuesday, May 16, 2023

Make your home offer the most appealing



Sales in March 2023 were down 2.4% month over month and still down 22.0% year over year according to the NAR Housing Snapshot.  The median sales price dipped 0.9% to $375,700 and there are 2.6 months supply of homes on the market compared to 2 months a year ago.

"Inventory levels are still at historic lows, and consequently, multiple offers are returning on 28% of properties." According to Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of REALTORS�.

It is still important to have a strategy for potentially competing with other buyers on the house you want to buy.  The plan should include several available provisions and options, so that at the time of drafting the sales offer, you can consider exactly what to include based on the situation.

Unless a person is paying cash, you need to be pre-approved by a trusted mortgage professional long before you start looking at homes.  Include the written pre-approval letter along with the offer.  When you are making an offer on a home, have the mortgage professional available to reassure the listing agent by phone who will convey assurance to the seller.

If you're concerned about multiple offers, make your best offer first because you may not get to counter and simply lose out to another buyer.  Starting with a low offer and gradually coming up doesn't work in highly competitive situations.  In some cases, a low-ball offer could cast a pall on any consideration of your purchase contract altogether.

The listing agent will calculate the expenses on the different offers for the seller to show them what their net proceeds will be on each contract.  Some types of financing have more costs incurred to the seller.  Asking the seller to make repairs or other financial concessions could lower their net even though your offer may be higher.

From a buyer's standpoint, contingencies provide options for things that may be uncertain like qualifying for a mortgage, discovery of major impediments to the condition of the home, and other things.  To the seller, they are obstacles that may invalidate the contract causing the home to go back on the market.  If the contingencies are necessary, try to make them as palatable to the seller as possible.

Instead of waiving your rights to make inspections, consider a very short inspection period to minimize the time the property is in limbo.  Instead of asking for repairs, provide a simple "accept or reject" once the inspections have been made.

Try to accommodate the seller's desired closing and possession dates.  Sometimes an earlier date may be more desirable for a seller and other times, it might be a later date based on the home they'll be moving into.  Your agent can do some research and find a flexible alternative that may appeal to the seller.

Increase your earnest money deposit more than the minimum.  It is a pecuniary indication that you are serious.  Your agent can tell you what the amount should be and alternatives like increasing the earnest money after certain contingencies have been met.

Escalation clauses state that you are willing to increase your offer by a certain amount up to a specified maximum, subject to another bona fide offer being received before yours is accepted.  Your agent will be able to further explain how these might work in your situation as well as share their experience with them in other similar negotiations.

You as a buyer and your offer to purchase need to be seen as the solution to the seller's situation in price, terms, and reliability to close.  Working with an experienced agent with seasoned negotiation skills is key to your success in buying a home in a competitive environment. 

Tuesday, May 9, 2023

Protect yourself with a new construction inspection



Builders of new homes offer or are required to warrant their work for a specified period.  Municipal inspections are generally required during different stages to "ensure the life, health, safety, and welfare of the public" but even if something is missed, the ultimate responsibility for building to code belongs to the builder, even if the municipal inspector misses something.

There are four basic stages of residential construction including:

  1. The foundation stage begins with excavation, footings, foundation walls or slab, waterproofing, backfill, compaction and underground rough plumbing and electricity.  Municipal inspections are done prior to pouring the foundation while items are visible.
  2. The framing stage includes the wood or steel framing, exterior walls and roof sheathing, exterior trim and siding, windows, doors, and roofing.  Depending on the municipality, there could be inspections of the rough framing separate from the roofing. 
    Next in this stage comes rough plumbing including water, waste, and vent piping, rough electrical, rough mechanical, ductwork, wiring, and electrical panel installation.  Municipalities will usually inspect plumbing and electrical separately.
  3. The wall insulation and drywall installation are done and inspected depending on the municipality before tape and texturing are done. 
  4. The final stage of construction includes flooring, cabinets, millwork, countertops, tile, mirrors, electrical trim, plumbing trim, and mechanical.  Some builders will not install appliances and HVAC until the last stage to protect against theft.  Municipal inspections are made in the final electric, plumbing, and mechanical.

A "Final Inspection" is done after all the periodic inspections have been completed and passed.

Defects that manifest themselves during the warranty period are the responsibility of the builder.  Unfortunately, some things may go undetected until after the warranty expires leaving the repair expense as the sole burden of the buyer/owner.

A safeguard that the purchaser will not be out of pocket for repair expenses is a home warranty which shifts the liability to the warranty or service contract company.  This is a negotiable item that can be paid for by the builder or the buyer.  However, this warranty will have a time limit on it and to continue the coverage, the buyer/owner will have to renew it by paying the additional annual premium.

One more safeguard for the purchaser is to hire their own inspector, to conduct periodic inspections during the different phases of construction.  Unlike an inspection made on an existing home, the inspector will have to visit the site multiple times during the process.  For that reason, constructions inspections are more expensive.

When hiring an inspector for new construction, ask at what stages do they inspect.  A typical new construction inspection might be at the end of the foundation stage, another at the end of the framing and rough plumbing, electrical, and mechanical, and the final inspection after the home is completed.

A provision allowing a buyer to hire their own inspector for periodic inspections should be included in the sales contract.  Your agent can not only help you get that included but assist in negotiation of any issues that arise because of the periodic inspections.

If you value this extra level of protection in the purchase of a new home, it is important that you have your agent first accompany you to the models so they will be registered as your agent.

Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Higher Interest Rates May be the Help You Need



Like opening and closing a faucet increases and decreases the water flow, lowering interest rates increases home sales and raising interest rates decreases home sales.

When home sales increase during periods of limited inventory, demand increases and prices go up.  Contrarily, when home sales decrease, demand could lessen and prices moderate. 

There is opportunity with higher rates because it affects sales and demand, which in turn keeps prices in check.  By waiting for rates to come down, and no one knows by how much but certainly not to the 3-4% range, buyers' pent-up demand will affect the already low supply and cause prices to increase.

Let's look at a scenario where you could buy a home today for $400,000 with a 90% loan at 6.5% for 30-years with P&I payments of $2,275.44.  If interest rates drop to 5.5% in one year but in that same period, the price goes up by 10%, the price would be $440,000 with a 90% loan at 5.5% for 30-years with P&I payments of $2,248.44.

The payment would go down by $27 a month but the price would have risen by $40,000 which would be equity of twice the down payment for the person who purchased a year earlier with a higher rate.

 

Purchase Price

Mortgage

P& I Payment

Equity EOY1

$400,000

$360,000 @ 6.5%/30 yr

$2,275.44

$84,023

$440,000

$396,000 @ 5.5%/30 yr

$2,248.44

$44,000

 

The takeaway in this example is that a person may experience more loss from unrealized equity during periods of high appreciation than waiting for a nominal drop in the interest rate.  With rates being a deterrent to buyers that have led to sales slipping 22% year over year in March 2023, sellers may be willing to negotiate.

It seems counterintuitive but higher interest rates may be the help you need to buy a home.

Tuesday, April 25, 2023

Shopping Mortgage Rates



Nobel Prize recipient, Richard Thaler, in his research into seemingly irrational economic behaviors, "found that consumers generally search too little, get confused while evaluating complex alternatives, and are slow to switch from past choices, even if it costs them." "Why are consumers leaving money on the table?"

Based on this behavior, a borrower securing a mortgage might depend on their existing banking relationship or a single referral from a friend or agent rather than shopping multiple lenders.

When shopping for a lower mortgage rate, consider that not all lenders share the same business practices.  Some may lure unsuspecting borrowers to a rate, knowing full well that they cannot deliver on it.  After making a loan application and supplying information necessary for approval, they reveal that the rate is not available for "whatever" reason.

They're counting on the borrower wanting to get into the home because the closing date is near and they'll compromise by accepting the higher than quoted rate.

Shopping for a mortgage rate can result in savings because rates are set by individual lenders.  To get an apples-to-apples comparison, the terms of the mortgage being shopped should be consistent among the lender candidates.

Consumers can make additional savings by not only shopping for better rates but for better terms and fees, which can vary widely among lenders.

The amount of savings can be affected not only by the difference in rates, but the size of the mortgage and the length of time borrowers expect to keep it without refinancing or selling.

  • Advertised rates are generally for A++ borrowers and the determination is the lender's based on many factors.  It may be unlikely those rates are offered to you. 
  • A recommendation for the best lender from a friend or family member will not necessarily be the best for you.
  • Instead of accepting the first offer received, shop for at least three to five offers.
  • Your personal bank may be convenient but it may not offer you the best rate, terms, and fees.
  • Ask if there is room to negotiate the rate or fees.

Ask your real estate professional for recommendations of several trusted lenders for you to shop a rate, terms, and fees. 

Tuesday, April 18, 2023

Who Benefits from Selling a Home "As Is"?



A person's decision to sell their home comes with a lot of other decisions causing an owner to stress or procrastinate.  Early in the process, the owner will consider selling the home "As Is" to avoid the looming issues that accompany selling a home.

From a seller's standpoint, "as is" means the buyer will purchase the home in its current condition without asking for any repairs.  While it is convenient for the seller to take this approach, the normal trade out is the property will not result in the highest possible sales price.

Regardless of how the home is sold, the seller is required to disclose all defects which include repair history, condition of systems and appliances, water damage, pest infestation, radon, and other things that affect the value and livability of the home.

From a buyer's point of view, they may think there is something wrong with the home which could result in them avoiding the home completely or making a substantially lower offer to cover not only the known issues but also the unknown ones.

It would be reasonable for a seller to allow a buyer to make inspections to determine what the condition of the home and what kind of expenses they might be faced with.  In some situations, based on provisions in the sales contract, the buyer, after making inspections, may decide not to continue with the contract which could extend the marketing time for the seller by having to find another buyer.

Selling a home "as is" is like wholesaling the property.  A comparison could be trading your car to a dealer when buying a new one.  The dealer will usually give you the best price for the new car but won't offer you a retail price for the trade-in.  If the dealer were to give you a "retail" price for the trade-in, they would probably expect a "retail" price for the new purchase.

Even if the seller doesn't want to go through the effort to make major improvements, they still need to consider things that will ease the buyers' concerns about the home.  These include a thorough cleaning, decluttering, yard cleanup, and repairs on known issues like leaking faucets, lighting, doors, and appliances to name a few examples.

If this path is taken, the cost to the seller will be not realizing the maximum sales price compared to comparable homes that have sold recently in the area that have been updated.

Sellers Pros & Cons

Buyer Pros & Cons

Not spend money to prepare the home

Lower purchase price

Won't maximize proceeds from the sale

Less competition from other buyers

Could sell quickly if priced properly

Financing could be challenging

May take longer to sell

Looking for an opportunity to build sweat equity

Effort finding/negotiating with contractors

Improve the property to your preferences

Investors looking to make a profit

There may be hidden problems

Making decisions on what the public wants

 

There are companies who will buy your home for cash.  Their ads are very appealing to sellers because it solves their concerns about putting the home on the market.  Realize these companies are not charities but "for profit" who expect to be able to recoup the money paid to you, pay all repairs, renovations, and sales expenses plus make a profit for the risk taken.

As a homeowner, you will always realize more of your equity by approaching it with a risk/reward analysis to determine how to sell it for the highest price with the least expenses.  Your real estate professional will act as a fiduciary to put your best interests ahead of their own.  It is worth the effort before embarking on an "as is" scenario.

Tuesday, April 11, 2023

A Lesson on Housing from the 80's



Doing nothing may be a lot more costly than doing something.  With rates twice what they were in 2021 and the first half of 2022, many buyers are sitting on the sideline.  For some, it has to do with not being able to afford the home they want at today's mortgage rates and for others, it is not willing to accept that the low rates that were available are not only gone, but may never be available again.

In the late 70's, rates were around 10% and in the early 80's went up to 18%.  Interestingly, many buyers went ahead and purchased at those record level highs and refinanced a few years later when rates came down.  By the end of the decade, prices had continued to increase so that buyers had a significant equity in their home.

Tenants who waited for the rates to go down didn't see savings because the price of homes had gone up.  More importantly, they missed the opportunity to build equity in their home through amortization and appreciation.

If you purchased a $400,000 home today on an FHA loan at 6.3% for 30 years, your total payment with taxes, insurance, and mortgage insurance premium would be about $3,459 a month.

That payment could save you a little bit if you were paying $3,500 for rent.  However, when you consider the monthly appreciation, assuming a 3% annual rate, and the monthly principal reduction due to amortization, the net cost of housing would be $2,229.  You would be paying $1,270 more each month to continue to rent which would amount to over $15,000 in one year alone. 

That loss would be about twice the amount of the down payment to get into the home.  Furthermore, in seven years, at the same 3% appreciation, your $7,500 investment in a down payment would grow to $138,000 in equity in seven years.  If the appreciation is greater than that, the equity would be much more.

You're going to be paying rent to live in a home; you might as well benefit from the equity buildup from amortization and appreciation that is only available to the owner.

The benefit of acting now is that sales are down which are affecting prices, although not dramatically.  When the Fed gets a handle on inflation, and interest rates do moderate some, more buyers will be in the market and supply and demand will again cause prices to rise.  Then, you can refinance to a lower rate but your investment in the home will be at a lower basis.

To run your own numbers, use our Rent vs. Own.  If you have questions, call me and I'll explain how to use it and what to expect for the home you'd like to have.

Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Make Your Home Offer the Most Appealing



Sales in February 2023 were up 14.5% month over month and still down 22.6% year over year according to the NAR Housing Snapshot.  The median sales price dipped 0.2% to $363,000 and there are 2.6 months supply of homes on the market compared to 1.7 months a year ago.

"Inventory levels are still at historic lows, and consequently, multiple offers are returning on a good number of properties." According to Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of REALTORS�.

It is still important to have a strategy for potentially competing with other buyers on the house you want to buy.  The plan should include several available provisions and options, so that at the time of drafting the sales offer, you can consider exactly what to include based on the situation.

Unless a person is paying cash, you need to be pre-approved by a trusted mortgage professional long before you start looking at homes.  Include the written pre-approval letter along with the offer.  When you are making an offer on a home, have the mortgage professional available to reassure the listing agent by phone who will convey that to the seller.

If you're concerned about multiple offers, make your best offer first because you may not get to counter and simply lose out to another buyer.  Starting with a low offer and gradually coming up doesn't work in highly competitive situations.  In some cases, a low-ball offer could cast a pall on any consideration of your purchase contract altogether.

The listing agent will calculate the expenses on the different offers for the seller to show them what their net proceeds will be on each contract.  Some types of financing have more costs incurred to the seller.  Asking the seller to make repairs or other financial concessions could lower their net even though your offer may be higher.

From a buyer's standpoint, contingencies provide options for things that may be uncertain like qualifying for a mortgage, discovery of major impediments to the condition of the home, and other things.  To the seller, they are obstacles that may invalidate the contract causing the home back on the market.  If the contingencies are necessary, try to make them as palatable to the seller as possible.

Instead of waiving your rights to make inspections, consider a very short inspection period to minimize the time the property is in limbo.  Instead of asking for repairs, provide a simple "accept or reject" once the inspections have been made.

Try to accommodate the seller's desired closing and possession dates.  Sometimes an earlier date may be more desirable for a seller and other times, it might be a later date based on the home they'll be moving into.  Your agent can do some research and find a flexible alternative that may appeal to the seller.

Increase your earnest money deposit more than the minimum.  It is a pecuniary indication that you are serious.  Your agent can tell you what that amount should be and alternatives like increasing the earnest money after certain contingencies have been met.

Escalation clauses state that you are willing to increase your offer by a certain amount up to a specified maximum, subject to another bona fide offer being received before yours is accepted.  Your agent will be able to further explain how these might work in your situation as well as share their experience with them in other similar negotiations.

You as a buyer and your offer to purchase need to be seen as the solution to the seller's situation in price, terms, and reliability to close.  Working with an experienced agent with seasoned negotiation skills is key to your success in buying a home in a competitive environment.   Download our Buyers Guide.

Tuesday, March 21, 2023

A New Perspective on the Housing Market



The housing market in 2021 and part of 2022 was anything but normal.  Mortgage rates were at all time lows and may never reach those levels again.  Double-digit appreciation drove prices to new heights.  Low inventories fueled by high buyer demand made multiple offers a normal expectation.

As we look at the market snapshots provided by MLS in the various markets across the U.S., it appears that things may be returning to normal, but not necessarily in all areas.  While there are more homes on the market now than a year ago, there are less sales due primarily to the doubling of mortgage rates in 2022.

Time on the market is lengthening but that can be explained by the removal of approximately 15 million homebuyers who now have affordability issues.  When the market shifted, sellers expectations for what they thought their home is worth are not keeping pace with current conditions.

Some sellers who didn't put their home on the market in 2021 and 2022 for whatever reason, remember the peak of the prices they could have sold their home for and now that they are ready, instead of looking at today's prices, still expect to get the higher value.

Every experienced agent knows that all real estate is local and while you can look at trends on a national basis, it takes a knowledgeable professional to assess the local market, even on a neighborhood basis, to determine what a property will reasonably sell for currently.

A seller who has owned their home for several years is going to realize a good profit and return on their investment.  If they are ready to sell in today's market, that should be their focus and not on what might have been, had they sold at the recent high.

There is no way to predict when prices will achieve their high whether it is in stocks, bonds, commodities, or housing prices.  It is only after it has hit the pinnacle and started retreating, that It can be identified.

Don't be concerned about the market you missed regardless of whether you are a buyer or a seller.  When real estate is viewed as a long-term investment, time takes care of things that can be incredibly stressful in the short term.

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage for the last 50 years is 7.76% according to the Freddie Mac PMMS survey.  The current 6.60% is considerably below that benchmark and it appears to be trending lower.  The current rate is what today's buyer must pay to borrow.

Home prices have experienced 7.16% appreciation for the last fifty-five years according to the Federal Reserve Economic Data of the St. Louis Fed.  Compared to the average inflation rate of 4.3% for the same period, homes provide a hedge against inflation and a significant contribution to personal net worth.

If you're in the market to buy or sell, contact your real estate professional to find out what your market is doing and what options you have available.

Tuesday, March 14, 2023

Rethinking Backup Offers



Like with any professional, there are tools and techniques available to help with particular situations.  They might be more popular at certain times and might even be put aside or forgotten at others. For real estate professionals, one of those is the backup offer. 

In a situation where there are multiple offers, the seller can accept any offer for whatever reasons are important to them, leaving the makers of the other offers disappointed.  There is always some uncertainty that the buyers on a contract will close accordingly.  To hedge on that possibility, the seller may choose to make a counteroffer to one or more of the other offers to be a backup should the primary contract not close.

From a buyer's perspective, the purpose of a backup offer is to be next in line to have the chance to purchase the property should the first contract fall through. The benefit is that you'll be next in line to purchase the home without having to submit another offer and possibly, get into a bidding war.  It simply moves from the first backup to the primary contract position.

The buyer in the backup position also experiences uncertainty if it will work and possibly, feeling like they could be wasting their time while waiting to hear the outcome of the first contract.  Some of these buyers will continue to look at homes in the likelihood that another acceptable or better property becomes available.

Should this situation occur, the buyer in the backup position may or may not have the ability to withdraw from their contract.  It will depend on how the agreement is written.  It is important to understand the rights and limitations, as well as when they can be exercised.

A backup offer can lock you into a binding contract until the primary contract's buyer is approved and closed or until it fails to close and the backup buyer becomes the primary.  The backup may or may not have a unilateral way to withdraw the offer prior to one of these outcomes.

Considerations that need to be understood by sellers and buyers alike are:

  • Can a buyer in a backup contract unilaterally withdraw at any time?
  • Will the earnest money be deposited on a backup offer?
  • Will the timelines for contingencies like mortgage or inspections need to be made before becoming the primary contract?
  • Will there be any fees incurred by the backup buyer?

Sellers sometimes use a backup offer to apply leverage to the primary contract's buyer.  For instance, if the seller feels the buyers' demands on repairs are too high, the seller might say something like "if you're not willing to accept it 'as is', I have another buyer waiting to do so."

Many buyers, as well as their agents, don't want to obligate themselves to a back-up offer.  However, in certain situations, it is a good tool to have the opportunity to purchase a home that meets their needs.

In the highly competitive market experienced in 2021 and part of 2022, some buyers may have been reluctant to use a backup because of the slim possibility that it would become the primary.  With the shift in the market due to the interest rate increases, a backup offer could be a viable tool to get the home of your dreams.

Your real estate professional can help you understand the advantages and disadvantages of backup offers.  Recognizing that contracts are legal and binding agreements, you can also consult an attorney who can confer with your agent to understand the situation.  

Download our Buyers Guide

Tuesday, March 7, 2023

Playing Monopoly Is Good Homework



If you've ever been in a Monopoly game after most of the properties have been purchased and developed, it can be a relief to land on Free Parking, knowing the dice must rotate to the next player giving you a respite from paying rent.  Like the game, in real life, it would be nice to avoid paying rent and even better to have people paying you rent for property you own.

Winning in the game of Monopoly is all about investing.  If you travel around the board, trying to buy the ultimate property and pass Go to get another $200, you're missing the opportunity to purchase good properties along the way that could lead to upgrading into your dream home.

Starting early to buy your first home gives a buyer a chance to acquire a property with a minimum down payment, and inevitably, have a lower payment than paying rent for a similar home.  As the home appreciates and the loan amortizes, the equity grows.  Within a few years of average appreciation, the down payment can double or triple based on the leverage of using other people's money.

They could use the equity to stair-step their way into a larger home and finally, their dream home.  Or, if that homeowner's goal is to acquire rental properties, they could convert that home to a rental and buy another home on a low-down payment, owner-occupied mortgage to allow that property's equity to grow in the same way.

Multi-unit properties could be another option.  Finance it with the same type of owner-occupied, low down payment mortgage to achieve leverage that isn't available to non-owner-occupied investors; live in one unit and rent the others.  FHA, VA, and conventional mortgages allow for owner occupants to purchase up to a four-unit building with minimum down payments.

It is very impressive to see the portfolios of properties that some young people have built by focusing on their goals, living within their means, and not getting distracted along the way.  You can learn a lot from them but be careful about getting into a game of Monopoly with them; they know how to play the game.

Let's connect and talk about some of the specifics.

 

Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Getting Comfortable with the New Normal Mortgage Rates



The biggest shock to homebuyers is the soaring mortgage rates of 2022 that doubled in one year resulting in approximately 15 million mortgage ready buyers displaced from the market due to affordability issues.

As of February 23, 2023, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage was at 6.5%.  While that is twice as high as it was on January 6, 2022, it is still lower than the 7.75% average rate since April 2, 1971, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

When rates increase at a rapid pace like this, it takes time for the public to adjust and begin to accept it as the new normal.

Prior to the housing bust that led to the Great Recession, the normal for mortgage rates was in the 6% range and existing home sales were over 6.5 million for three years.  From 2007 to 2014, home sales were closer to 5 million with 2008-2011 at just above 4 million annually.

From January 17, 2008 to March 5, 2020, mortgage rates averaged 4.32%.  In this 12-year period, buyers experienced some of the lowest mortgage rates ever and became to expect that rates would always be that low. 

Then, during the hardest part of the pandemic, the government took unprecedented actions to influence rates even lower to where they averaged 3.06% between March 5, 2020 and March 17, 2022.

It appears that mortgage rates have peaked in this latest cycle.  In December 2022, the rates came down for four straight weeks following two weeks of slightly higher rates.  The question is what to anticipate for 2023.

The National Association of REALTORS� is expecting mortgage rates to be below 6% in the last half of 2023 possibly, 5.5% to 5.7%.  Zillow's chief economist believes rates will drop to around 5.5% for 2023.  The Mortgage Bankers Association expects that "30-year mortgage rates will end 2023 at 5.3%."  Fannie Mae forecasts rates will end 2023 at 5.7%.

Relying on the experts, rates are not going to return to the unusual levels during the pandemic or even in the past 12-14 years.  The new normal may well indeed be at the mid-5% level and when the public gets use to it, sales will begin to rise again.

Some buyers may need to adjust their price points because higher payments are directly impacted by the higher rates.  Even if they could have afforded more with the lower rates, that was a missed opportunity.  When the Fed gets inflation under control and the market rebounds from the pent-up demand, another window could be lost.

David Stevens, CEO of Mountain Lake Consulting, and former Assistant Secretary of Housing recently said in a LinkedIn post talking about the housing market in 2023 "So be advised...this may be the one and only window for the next few years to get into a buyers' market. And remember...as the Federal Reserve data shows...home prices only go up and always recover from recessions no matter how mild or severe.  Long term homeowners should view this market...right now...as a unique buying opportunity."

Tuesday, February 21, 2023

When do you lock your mortgage rate?



Locking your interest rate protects you from increases due to market conditions.  Locking early safeguards your budgeted payment.  By locking the rate, if the market goes up, you get the lower rate; if it goes down after the lock, you may be able to pay a fee and lower the rate.

Knowing when to take the lock is determined by which direction you think the market is going.  If you think rates are going up, lock in early.  If you think rates are going down, ride the rate to within a few days of closing.

Some lenders may allow a borrower to lock a rate after pre-approval but is more common to not offer a lock until there is a signed contract on a home.  Even with a pre-approval, it could easily take 30 days or more to close a transaction and the rates can move a lot in that period.

There may be a fee charged to lock a rate which is determined by the lender.  Generally, the longer the time for the rate lock, the higher the fee.

There is a lock period established by the lender that guarantees the rate, if the loan is closed by the expiration date.  Normal lock periods can be between 30 to 60 days.  Longer periods may be available but will probably require higher fees.

Things that could affect your rate lock are:

  • The appraised value comes in lower than what was expected in the sales contract.
  • The borrowers' credit changes considerably before the closing.
  • The loan amount changes after the rate lock.
  • The loan type changes.
  • The down payment decreases before the closing.
  • Some income, like bonuses or overtime, could not be verified.

If a higher rate at closing means that you will no longer be able to qualify for the mortgage, it may be more important to lock in early.  Looking at what the rates have done for the preceding weeks may indicate a trend but at the same time, markets have turned overnight and started moving in the opposite direction.

A trusted mortgage professional can give you good advice and why they feel you should either lock the rate or let it ride.  Your real estate agent can help also but ultimately, the decision is yours.

Tuesday, February 14, 2023

Get the Buyer Incentives to Act Now



Sellers, who last year, were not willing to make any concessions, are much more likely to do so this year due to the softening of the market because of inflation and higher mortgage rates affecting affordability for buyers.

Concessions can take place in different forms.  A seller could offer to pay the buyer's closing costs or pay points for the buyer to get an FHA or VA loan.  Another option would be to pay for a 2/1 buydown that would lower the buyer's payments in the first two years of the mortgage.

Buydowns can be temporary or permanent and are achieved by pre-paying the interest at the time of closing.  Typically, the seller will do this as an inducement to the buyer.  While individual lenders set the price for permanent buydowns, a common rule-of-thumb would be two points, or two percent of the mortgage amount, to buydown the rate 0.5% for the life of the mortgage.

A more common type of buydown is a 2/1 where the payment is calculated at 2% lower than the note rate for the first year and 1% lower for the second year.  The third and following years, the payment would be calculated at the note rate.

$400,000 Purchase Price, 80% loan-to-value @6.27% for 30 years 
Cost of buydown - $8,099

 

 

1st year

2nd year

Remainder

Payment Rate

4.27%

5.27%

6.27%

P&I Payments

$1,775

$1,992

$2,221

Monthly Savings

$446

$229

 

 

In the example above, the seller would pre-pay the interest on the buyer's mortgage for the first two years to subsidize the difference in the note rate and the payment rate.

A 2/1 buydown is a fixed interest rate mortgage where the buyer must qualify at the note rate.  It is a standard, conforming loan and applies to FHA, VA, or conventional.  The benefit is that the buyer will have lower payments for the first two years which can help them settle into the home and not exhaust their resources initially.

Closing costs and pre-paid items are commonly included in seller-paid incentives for the buyer.  Many times, they are described in the listing and/or sales agreement as "Seller to pay up to $X,000 in closing costs or pre-paid items on behalf of the buyer."

The benefit to the buyer is that less money is needed to close the loan.  Lenders are agreeable to this type of provision if it is stated in the sales contract.

Car dealers have been providing incentives in the form of upgrades, below market interest rates, pre-paid regular service for a period, and other things to incentivize a buyer to purchase now.  It is also common practice for new home builders to do the same.

In the resale home market, while these things have been done in the past, there wasn't a need for sellers to incur the additional expenses with such a short supply of homes.  The market certainly changed in 2022 with fewer qualified buyers in the market due to the higher interest rates.  Now, sellers are starting to offer incentives but regardless, buyers can include the incentives in a sales contract for the seller to consider.

Your agent will be able to help you understand what things are common in your market to help with some of the concerns facing buyers today.

Tuesday, February 7, 2023

Compare Before Deciding on the Standard Deduction



The TCJA of 2019 dramatically increased the standard deduction so that many homeowners benefit from taking that rather than itemizing their deductions.  Taking the standard deduction may result in a larger deduction even if you have no expenses that qualify for claiming itemized deductions.

Another thing reinforcing taking the standard deduction was low rates at the time and the interest plus property taxes were less than the standard deduction.

In 2022, mortgage rates more than doubled, so, anyone who purchased a home or refinanced at the higher rates might benefit from itemizing rather than taking the standard deduction.  The takeaway in this article is to compare both methods each year to see which way provides the larger deduction.

For 2022, the standard deduction for married couples filing jointly is $25,900, for single filers and married individuals filing separately is $12,950, and for heads of households is $19,400.  There are increased amount for seniors over 65.

Mortgage interest, points paid to purchase a home (paid by seller or buyer), and property taxes are deductible on Schedule A.  Other items allowed as deductions are charitable contributions, medical expenses in excess of 7.5% of taxpayers' adjusted gross income, and casualty and theft losses from a federally declared disaster.

In 2019, IRS reported that 89.5% of people took the standard deduction which is easier to file, doesn't require receipts, and may yield a higher deduction than itemizing but the only way to be sure is to compare both ways.

For more information, download Publication 529 or contact your tax professional.  Download our Homeowners Tax Guide for more information on homeowner taxes.

Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Negotiate a Buydown to Get into a Home Now



If you are a prospective homebuyer, things have changed in the past year.  Most notably, mortgage rates have more than doubled which has created an affordability gap that has taken approximately 15 million buyers out of the market.

Inventories are growing but it isn't because more people are deciding to sell their homes; it is because it is taking longer to sell properties because less people are qualified.  Current housing inventory is a little more than a quarter of what it was in 2008.

Buyers are wondering when the market will return to normal, as if mortgage rates at three and four percent should be commonplace.  The average mortgage rate between April 1971 and November 2022 is 7.76%.

Predictions for mortgage rates in the third quarter 2023 range from 4.5% for Fannie Mae, 5.0% for Mortgage Bankers Association, and 5.2% for Freddie Mac.

Traditionally, over the past 35 years, there is a 175-200 basis point difference between the 10-year Treasury and the 30-year mortgage rates.  However, recently, the spread has been 300 basis points.  Some experts explain this to indicate that the Fed's tactics for lowering inflation is working and the mortgage market will soon respond which is indicated by lower rates in the past few weeks.

"The gap between the 30-year fixed mortgage rate and the government borrowing rate is much higher today than it has been historically," NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, said. "If we didn't have this large gap, mortgage rates wouldn't be 7%, they would be 5.8%."

There is opportunity for prospective buyers in today's market.  The slowing of housing sales, down 34% from December 2021, have changed the environment buyers were experiencing in 2020 and 2021.  Instead of having to pay a premium over the list price, many sellers are willing to negotiate on price.

Without multiple offers being the normal, buyers can expect to include contingencies for financing, appraisal, inspections, and possibly, the sale of a home currently under contract.

Some buyers who are confident that mortgage rates will come down soon have opted to purchase now with an adjustable-rate mortgage.  This can lower the rate by about one percent for the first period which can be five years.  When mortgage rates returned to acceptable, the borrower could refinance to a fixed-rate mortgage.

Another option to consider would be to do a buydown on the mortgage rate.  Assuming that in the "softer" market, the seller would accept an offer to buydown the interest rate for the first two years.  It would allow the buyer to purchase at today's prices, with much lower payments for the first two years.

Example

$500,000 Purchase Price, 80% loan-to-value @6.13% for 30 years | Cost of buydown - $8,934


 

1st year

2nd year

Remainder

Payment Rate

4.13%

5.13%

6.13%

P&I Payments

$1,940

$2,179

$2,432

Monthly Savings

$492

$253

 

 

This type of mortgage is a standard, conforming, fixed-rate loan where the buyer must qualify at the note rate.  The payment for the first year is 2% less than the note rate and for the second year is 1% less than the note rate.  The difference must be paid in advance at closing and in the case of this example, the seller paid it based on contract negotiations.

During this period of lower payments, if the rate comes down, they could refinance the property.  Let's further assume that the rates come down at the end of the first year.  If the property is refinanced before the pre-paid interest is owed, the lender is required to reimburse the borrower which could be applied toward the cost of refinancing.

When the mortgage rates do return to an acceptable rate, there may be considerable pent-up demand from the mortgage-ready buyers who were priced out of the market.  This could lead to another seller's market where high competition results in prices above list price and sellers not willing to accept contingencies.

Temporary rate buydowns have been available for decades.  Their main purpose is to help a borrower get into a home with lower payments initially.  In some cases, they need it because they depleted their cash reserves on the down payment; in other situations, maybe, they are upwardly mobile and expect to be making more income soon.

The reason lenders across the country are talking about them now is because they provide a reasonable and viable alternative to buying a home at today's prices without having the higher payment initially for the current rates.  It especially makes sense if you believe that rates are coming down soon.

Your real estate agent can give you more information about this and explain how you can negotiate with the seller to pay the fee to get this type of loan.  Call us at (703) 878-4866.

Tuesday, January 24, 2023

If you're on the sidelines, at least get ready...



If you're on the sidelines to buy a home, there are things you can do to be ready when you do get back in the game.

Improve your credit score to qualify for the best mortgage rate available which are reserved for those with the highest scores.  Get a copy of your current credit reports from all three of the main credit bureaus: Equifax, TransUnion, and Experian.  You can get them at AnnualCreditReport.com without paying for them.

While you won't see a credit score on these reports, you will see a history of your available credit accounts.  According to the Federal Trad Commission, one in five people have at least one error on one of their credit reports which can lower your score or increase the cost or likelihood of receiving new credit.  Identify and correct these mistakes. 

Explain in writing the error in the report and include copies of documents that support your dispute.  Both the credit bureau and the business that supplied the information must correct the information that is in error.  There will not be a fee to correct it.  You can get specific info for the process on each credit reporting companies' website and from the FTC Consumer Advice.

There is a term call "credit utilization" which describes how much of your available credit on each revolving account is currently being used.  If the limit on one card were $10,000 and you had a $5,000 balance, the utilization ratio is 50%.  Amounts above 30% can negatively impact your credit score even if you do pay the balance each month.

Any delinquent items that may appear on your credit report need to be cleared up.  Regardless of whether there is a legitimate reason, it needs to be explained to the credit bureau.  Beginning in 2023, medical collections less than $500 will no longer be reported on consumer credit reports.

Continue to save for a down payment because mortgages less than 80% of loan-to-value require mortgage insurance which increases the monthly payment.  The exception to the rule is for VA loans which do not require it.  The cost of mortgage insurance could add 0.5% to 2% or more to the payment.

Lower your debt-to-income ratio by paying off installment loans for cars, boats, and other things.

While there are legitimate credit repair services available, you may be able to get excellent advice from a trusted mortgage professional.  You'll eventually want to be pre-approved before you start looking at homes.  Your real estate agent can make a recommendation to connect you with someone who will get you ready to get back into the game.

Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Negotiating Your Position



The seller wants the most for their home and the buyer wants to pay the least possible.  From the very beginning of the homebuying process, there are adversarial positions between the principals.  If you happen to be in a multi-offer situation, it just complicates things further.

Then, there are the emotions that tend to cloud the decision making on both sides of the transaction.  Sellers have lived in the home for years, possibly, with cherished family experiences and maybe, having put considerable effort and money into capital improvements.

On the buyer side, they may have lost out on several homes due to competing offers and now, this year, interest rates have doubled, and the discretionary funds required to pay for a home could be causing cuts in their budget in other areas.

A year ago, buyers were waiving contingencies for financing, appraisals, inspections, and other things just to be competitive.  Today, to make the home more affordable with the higher mortgage rates, buyers need the seller to make financial concessions but who is going to make their case to the seller for them?

The role of a third-party negotiator played by the real estate professionals has always been valuable to the success of the transaction but now, it may even be essential.  Sellers enjoyed an extraordinary market in their favor for the past two years with incredible appreciation and so many buyers chasing so few homes, the sellers were able to write their own ticket.

Inflation and mortgage rates have put the brakes on the market, eliminating over 15 million mortgage-ready buyers.  The buyers who are still in the market need to be cautious, so they don't overextend themselves and overpay for a home.

The agents can assist both the buyers and sellers in seeing things in an objective way that reflects the current market and not the way it was a year ago.  All parties must be reasonable and not expect too much.  They need to consider facts and not feelings.

Negotiating the sale or purchase of a home is a competition; for one person to get something, someone must give something up.  If a person doesn't feel comfortable with this, it is important to work with an agent who can bring their skills to the table on your behalf.  As your advocate, they can champion your position and put transactions together that would not have been possible if it were left to the principals alone.

Negotiation skills are acquired through training and experience.  When interviewing an agent, ask them what role negotiation plays in their marketing plan if you're a seller and purchase plan, if you are a buyer.  An agent who cannot defend their position in the transaction may not be the right person to defend yours.

Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Turn Back Time



As the expression goes, "if I could turn back time", maybe you'd would do some things differently.  If you're wanting to buy a home, the regret may come from not getting a mortgage when rates were half of what they are today.  There may not be a way to literally "turn back time" but you may still be able to get a mortgage with last years' rates.

Let's say a home was sold in the fall of 2021 for $350,000 with a 3% FHA loan.  Today, winter of 2023, the home is on the market for sale at $400,000.  There are buyers who have $40,000 for a down payment, who like the home, and want to purchase it.

At today's mortgage rate of 6.42%, the $360,000, 30-year mortgage payment would be $2,2565.54 for the principal and interest.  They have been looking for a year and in the past 12 months, the mortgage rates have doubled which will stretch their finances along with all the other inflationary pressures.

Their incredibly savvy agent has learned that the underlying mortgage is an FHA mortgage at 3.00% with a little less than 29 years remaining.  This loan could be assumed by an owner occupant at the current rate which would save the buyer a considerable amount of interest.

The problem is that the buyers do not have enough cash to buy the equity.  The unpaid balance is $328,902 which makes the equity about $71,000 which is more than the $40,000 they have available.

The agent believes that with the buyer using the $40,000, they should be able to get a second mortgage for the difference of $31,000.  While it may not be possible to get a 30-year term on the second, it may be possible to get a 30-year amortization on the payment and have the second loan due in ten years.

Sources for the second loan could be the borrower's local bank, a credit union, a relative or other investor not happy with what they're earning on cash in the current market.

This could save the buyer over $600 a month.  In addition to a lower payment, assumptions on FHA loans have lower closing costs, they're easier to qualify for, and the lower mortgage rates allow them to amortize faster than a higher rate mortgage.

 

Buyer Scenario #1 ... New Mortgage

 

Purchase Price

$400,000

10% Down Payment

$40,000

Mortgage at 6.42% for 30 years

$360,000

Principal & Interest Payment

$2,256.54

Future Value at 3% Appreciation in 7 years

$493,342

Future Unpaid Balance

$325,062

Future Equity

$168,280

 

 

Buyer Scenario #2 ... Assumption

 

Purchase Price

$400,000

10% Down Payment

$40,000

Assume Existing Mortgage at 3% for 28.8 Remaining Years

$328,871

Assume Principal & Interest Payment

$1,386.66

New Second Mortgage at 6.5% for 30 years

$31,098

Payment on Second Mortgage

$247.32

Total Monthly Payments

$1,633.94

Monthly Savings

$622.55

 

 

Future Value at 3% Appreciation in 7 years

$493,342

Unpaid Balance on 1st Mortgage in 7 years

$266,313

Unpaid Balance on 2nd Mortgage in 7 years

$35,379

Future Equity in 7 years

$191,649

Increased Equity Over New Mortgage

$23,369

 

In the early 1980s, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac added "due on sale" and escalation of interest rate clauses to the standard verbiage on notes and mortgages.  From a practical standpoint, this ended assumptions of most conventional mortgages. 

FHA and VA continued to be assumable by anyone, regardless of credit, until 12/1/86 and 3/1/88 respectively.  At that time, an owner-occupant could assume the existing interest rate but had to qualify to do so.  Mortgage rates went down over the next three decades with only some temporary increases until January 2022 when they began to increase dramatically.

If a buyer had to qualify to assume a mortgage, especially if it was higher than the current rates, there was no compelling reason to put more money down for an existing mortgage.  Now, in 2023, this environment has changed.

Many buyers who purchased using an FHA or VA mortgage in the past two to three years, benefitted from some of the lowest rates in over 50 years.   The equities in these properties are still within reason to either assume cash to equity or consider a second mortgage for part of the equity.

If you'd like to learn more about how to assume FHA, VA, or USDA mortgages at lower rates than currently available on new mortgages, contact your real estate professional.  Unfortunately, some agents are not aware of how assumptions work.  Give us a call and we can walk you through the process and even have a spreadsheet that will analyze the comparison for you.

Tuesday, January 3, 2023

Buy Now, Refinance Later



The dilemma facing would-be buyers today is to wait until things settle down or move ahead in this unsettling economic environment.  More specifically, the question should be, what are you waiting to settle down: mortgage rates, or prices or both?

Mortgage rates haven't been this high since 2002, so it could be considered plausible that the high rates are temporary.  That leads to the question of how long before they do start coming down.  If we look back further, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, dating back to April 1971 is 7.81%, so the current rate is lower than the 50-year average.

The other variable is waiting for prices to come down.  That one is probably not as likely to happen.  We have seen some softening of prices for homes on the market which is due to a decline in sales based on affordability and the resulting increase in inventory. 

Sales reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.09 million in November which is down 35.4% from one year ago, conversely, inventory has increased to 3.3 months from 2.1 months one year ago according to the NAR Housing Snapshot of Existing Home Sales.

While listing prices may be coming down, sales prices are still rising from the same month a year ago.  The National Association of REALTORS� reported the median sales price for November 2022 is up 3.5% from November 2021.

Homes are expected to continue to appreciate and not come down in value albeit at a much lower rate than was seen in 2021, and even currently in 2022.  Historically, homes have appreciated at 4% annually on a national basis. 

Nationally, the NAR reports 42% of homes are selling at or above list price while 58% of homes are selling for less than list price.

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of REALTORS� at their recent annual conference, forecast home price appreciation for 2022 at +10%, for 2023 at +1% and 2024 at +5%. 

Some experts are calling for a decrease in prices.  Ivy Zelman, of Zelman & Associates, expects national home prices to fall 4% in 2023 and 5% in 2024.  Goldman Sachs is expecting a 5-10% decrease in home prices from its peak. Fannie Mae is expecting a 1.5% drop in home prices for 2023.  Freddie Mac predicts a 0.2% decrease in values.

Some consumers are anticipating another wave of foreclosures like the Housing Crisis in the Great Recession of 2008.  While the number has increased, it is not expected to reach anywhere near those previous levels.

Homeowners facing difficulties with the labor market and affordability have a significant advantage over those during the housing crisis over a decade ago.  Homeowners currently have record amounts of equity which give them options to borrow against the equity or to sell the home for more than is owed.

Returning to the dilemma facing many would-be buyers, "Wait until things settle down or forge ahead now?"  Being able to afford a mortgage at today's rates certainly factors into the decision.  If inflation is brought under control and rates do return to "normal", or at least the new normal, a buyer would be able to refinance the home at the then, current rates.

Home price appreciation has been close or beaten inflation in each of the past five decades.

Decade

Home Prices

Consumer Prices

70's

9.9%

7.2%

80's

5.5%

5.6%

90's

4.1%

3.0%

00's

2.3%

2.6%

10's

4.9%

1.8%

20 + 21

12%

3%

Source ... NAR & Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

First time homebuyers represent 26% of sales in 2022 down from 50%, its high in 2009.  This is the lowest it has been since NAR started the Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers in 1981.  Desire to own a home is the prevalent reason 62% of first-time buyers cited.

Holding onto cash during high inflationary times is not good because the purchasing power of the cash dwindles because the same dollar is able to buy less.  Moving money into hard assets, like real estate, allows the person to benefit from the inflation on a large asset.  The leverage from using borrowed funds to finance the purchase creates leverage that additionally works in favor of the buyer.

Download our updated Buyers Guide and connect with your agent to discuss your options.